Chang Yang, chief analyst of the policy team of Zhongtai Securities Research Institute: The Central Economic Work Conference further released the signal of supporting the development of the private economy. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to give play to the traction role of economic system reform and promote the implementation of landmark reform measures. High-quality completion of the deepening and upgrading of state-owned enterprise reform, the introduction of private economy promotion law. Carry out special actions to standardize law enforcement involving enterprises. Formulate guidelines for the construction of a unified national market. Strengthen supervision and promote the healthy development of platform economy. Make overall plans to promote the reform of the fiscal and taxation system and increase local independent financial resources. Deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system. Chang Yang, chief analyst of the policy team of Zhongtai Securities Research Institute, told reporters that the meeting put forward a very targeted statement on the private economy. Among them, expressions such as "Promulgating the Private Economy Promotion Law" and "Launching Special Actions to Standardize Law Enforcement of Enterprises" have further released the signal of supporting the development of the private economy, which is expected to create a more favorable policy environment for the development of the private economy. (SSE)BlackRock advises investors interested in bitcoin to allocate up to 2% bitcoin weight in their portfolios.ServiceTitan(TTAN), a software provider, opened its US IPO at $101.00 on the first day, compared with the previous IPO price of $71.00 per share.
International copper closed down more than 1.1%, while Shanghai nickel and alumina rose more than 1.5% at most. International copper closed down 1.14%, Shanghai copper closed down 0.94%, Shanghai aluminum closed up 0.12%, Shanghai zinc closed down 0.83%, Shanghai lead closed down 0.37%, Shanghai nickel closed up 1.51% and Shanghai tin closed down 0.81%. Alumina closed up 1.04% at night. Stainless steel night trading closed down 0.23%.President of the European Central Bank: The euro zone economy continues to be weak and is still preparing to cut interest rates further. On December 12, local time, after the European Central Bank announced its decision to cut all three key interest rates by 25 basis points, President Lagarde of the European Central Bank subsequently held a press conference. She said that the Governing Council of the European Central Bank unanimously agreed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly based on the latest assessment of the current inflationary pressure, future prospects and the transmission degree of monetary policy to the real economy. On the same day, the European Central Bank also released the latest macroeconomic forecast, further lowering its expectations for economic growth in the euro zone. Lagarde said that poor economic development and continued weakness are worrying. She said that trade friction may drag down economic growth, and extensive geopolitical development is one of the upward risks of inflation. In view of the fact that the current economic growth in the euro zone is hit by domestic political instability in various countries, especially large economies such as Germany and France, and may face the threat of punitive tariffs imposed by US President-elect Trump, the European Central Bank is still preparing to cut interest rates further. Lagarde said that the ECB Council is determined to ensure that inflation is sustainable and stable at the medium-term target of 2%. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for January 30, 2025.Expert: The Central Economic Work Conference has determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 is "moderately loose". Dong Ximiao, the chief researcher of Zhaolian and a part-time researcher at the Institute of Finance of Fudan University, believes that the Central Economic Work Conference has determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 is "moderately loose" not only because of the analysis of the current economic situation, but also because of the full consideration of external uncertainties and the planning of economic work next year. Looking forward to the follow-up, in 2025, moderately loose monetary policy can continue to exert its strength in three aspects, which is more forward-looking, effective and targeted. First, it is necessary to intensify counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment, make pre-adjustment in an unconventional way, let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve, help the macro economy smooth out cyclical fluctuations and external shocks, and show forward-looking; Second, continue to reduce the RRR and interest rates. In 2025, the RRR can be lowered by 0.5 percentage points, the policy interest rate will be lowered by 50 basis points, and the LPR will be reduced by 25 basis points, thus ensuring more abundant liquidity in the total amount, moderately reducing costs and enhancing effectiveness; Third, make good use of the existing structural monetary policy tools, create new tools when necessary, enrich the "eighteen martial arts" in the toolbox, guide and support financial institutions to do the "five major articles", especially increase support for scientific and technological innovation, green development, consumer finance, etc., and reflect pertinence. (Xinhua Finance)
Sources: A few ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Three sources said that several ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates more sharply on Thursday, and they were worried that the new US tariffs would hinder economic growth. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, and opened the door for more easing policies, as the euro zone economy was dragged down by domestic political instability and the threat of a new round of trade war in the United States. However, due to the low forecast of inflation and economic growth, about five of the 26 members of the official Committee initially advocated a 50 basis point interest rate cut. In particular, they pointed out that if the incoming Trump administration imposes new tariffs on the EU, the growth of economic output next year may be lower than the 1.1% expected by the European Central Bank. A small number of policy makers who called for greater interest rate cuts quickly gave in, adding that given the current uncertainty, people are reluctant to make a hasty decision.The Israeli army said that the Hamas stronghold was not attacked by humanitarian vehicles. On the 12th local time, the Israel Defense Forces issued a statement saying that the Israeli army had "targeted" the two strongholds of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) militants in the south of the Gaza Strip the night before. The statement accused Hamas militants of moving along the route of transporting humanitarian aid in the south of the Gaza Strip, saying that the purpose of the Israeli army's actions was to make humanitarian aid safely reach the residents in the Gaza Strip. The statement stressed that the Israeli army did not attack the humanitarian aid truck. The official Palestinian news agency "Wafa" said on the 12th that Israeli forces bombed Rafah in the southern Gaza, killing 13 people. The medical staff in Rafah said that these people were protecting the aid trucks that arrived in the city, but they were attacked by Israeli troops.The overall implementation of the personal pension system is more optimized. After two years of implementation in 36 cities (regions), the personal pension system will be officially launched nationwide on December 15th. On December 12th, Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, Ministry of Finance, State Taxation Administration of The People's Republic of China, State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau, China Securities Regulatory Commission and other five departments issued the Notice on Full Implementation of Individual Pension System, which made it clear that from December 15th, 2024, all workers who participated in the basic old-age insurance for urban workers or urban and rural residents in China can participate in the individual pension system. China Securities Regulatory Commission said that the promulgation and implementation of the Notice is an important measure to implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the Second and Third Plenary Sessions of the 20th Central Committee and accelerate the development of a multi-level and multi-pillar old-age security system, which is conducive to giving full play to the wealth management function of the capital market and building a sound policy system of "long money and long investment". At the same time, according to the requirements of the Notice, the China Securities Regulatory Commission timely optimized the product supply and included the first batch of 85 equity index funds in the personal pension investment product catalogue. Lou Feipeng, a researcher at China Postal Savings Bank, said that the Notice put forward targeted measures based on the situation encountered in the pilot, enriching the types of personal pension products, increasing the situation of receiving personal pensions in advance and effectively improving the personal pension system on the basis of the previous pilot, which will help attract investors to actively participate in personal pension-related investments. (Securities Daily)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14